Election Guide 2025: House District 66

HD 66 includes parts of both Spotsylvania and Caroline counties. Updated March 2, 2025.

Jan 07, 2025

By Martin Davis
EDITOR-IN-CHIEF

Updated July 4, 2025

In the event of errors or omissions, please send a note to the editor.

Key Dates

Election Day

November 4, 2025

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Voter Information

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Overview

Bobby Orrock (R) is nothing short of an institution in the Virginia House of Delegates. First elected in 1989, Orrock served on four committees in the 2023-2024 legislative session: Agriculture, Chesapeake and Natural Resources Committee, House Finance Committee, Health, Welfare and Institutions Committee, and he served as chair of the House Rules Committee.

Nicole Cole will run against Orrock in November in her first attempt to secure a seat in the General Assembly. Cole serves on the Spotsylvania County School Board and was a significant force in that Board’s moving from the hands of a conservative majority to a more-moderate majority.

In 2023, Orrock beat Democratic candidate Mark Lux by 11.5 percentage points (55.6% for Orrock, 44.1% for Lux). Orrock outspent Lux badly in 2023. Lux spent just over $3,000 — Orrock more than $300,000.

How close this election becomes depends upon several factors. Among them:

Can Cole compete with Orrock in fundraising - Democrats have traditionally poured very little money into running against Orrock. In 2021, for example, Orrock outspent Eric Butterworth by approximately $200,000 to $660; in 2019 he outspent Neri Canahui-Ortiz by approximately $278,000 to $87,000; and in 2017 he outspent Al Durante by approximately $287,000 to $18,000.
The Trump effect - The passage of the Big, Beautiful Law will loom large in this race. The impacts of the law will take time to be felt, though changes in student loan payments, cuts to the food safety net, and restrictions on Medicaid will begin to be felt before November. How much this moves citizens in the election is difficult to know. But with Democrats from Abigail Spanberger all the way down the ballot making hay of the issue, expect it to play some role in this election. The question will be, will it stick to Orrock?
How Much Does the District Lean Republican? - Though VPAP rates the district as Leans Republican, voters in HD 66 were evenly split. Trump took 50.4% of the vote in 2024, while Tim Kaine took 50.6% of the vote in his race for the Senate. The 66th is a large district, however, and Nicole Cole’s ability to pull on the Democrats in the region will depend on how successful she is getting her name in front of voters.
Turnout — With Abigail Spanberger and Winsome Earle-Sears drive voters to the polls in November? That remains to be seen. Low turnout favors Orrock. Higher turnout could make this race very close.

Demographics

According to VPAP, HD 66’s racial makeup is 60.7% white. Blacks make up 21.6% of the electorate, and Hispanics 10.1%.

Three-quarters of the voters live in Spotsylvania, and the balance live in Caroline County.

The 66th was redistricted for the November 2023 election. Prior to that, Orrock served in HD 54.

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